Status: Corona ingress · Data collection active
Science log: heliodata.ai/data/science_log.jsonl
Scoring window: May 1–15, 2026
Full scorecard: Publishing May 1, 2026
16 Predictions — Locked February 18, 2026
1. Fragmentation probability55% ± 10%pending
2. Peak apparent magnitude−7 ± 2pending
3. Peak brightness timeApr 4 ~14:20 ± 3hpending
4. Maximum tail length30° ± 10°pending
5. Fragment count3–5pending
6. Naked-eye visibility windowApr 5–21pending
7. SOHO coronal detectionYes — 75%pending
8. Ion tail disconnections3 ± 2pending
9. PanSTARRS C/2025 R3 peak3.5 ± 1.5 magpending
10. In-situ spacecraft detectionNo — 85%pending
11. CME within ±12h perihelionYes — 80%pending
12. Earth-directed CMENo — 90%pending
13. Max Kp index Apr 1–75 ± 1.5pending
14. G1+ geomagnetic storm58%pending
15. NOAA official advisoryYes — 70%pending
16. Satellite fleet survival>99%pending